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Chile interest rate held at 4.5% in October 2026 as long rates rise

Chile's central bank held its policy rate at 4.5% on 27 October 2026 by unanimous vote, while flagging a rise in long-term nominal interest rates.

The facts

  • The Banco Central de Chile published its monetary policy statement on Tuesday, 27 October 2026, holding the policy rate at 4.5% by unanimous vote of the Board.
  • Headline consumer price inflation ran at 4.1% over the year to September 2026 and core inflation at 3.2%.
  • Two-year inflation expectations stand at 3.0% in the bank's Economic Expectations Survey, unchanged, and have risen to 3.2% in its Financial Traders Survey.
  • The statement reports that international financial conditions have become more restrictive, citing expectations of tighter global monetary policy, falling equity markets, a stronger US dollar and higher long-term interest rates.
  • Locally, the bank names a falling IPSA equity index, a weaker peso and an increase in long-term nominal interest rates.
  • Activity was split in August: the total Imacec index fell 1.0% over the year and 0.7% on the month, while the non-mining Imacec rose 1.4% and 0.7% on the same measures, with the bank attributing the headline weakness mainly to mining.

What it means for your money

  • The policy rate is unchanged, but Chilean mortgages price off long rates, and the bank says those rose. Financing is getting dearer.
  • Glopra's figures put Chile at $2,247 per square metre with rent at $8.71 per square metre a month, a gross yield of about 4.6%, which is thin cover if the long end keeps climbing.
  • For anyone already holding Chilean property, the weaker peso the statement names is the live channel: rent collected in pesos converts into fewer dollars whatever the local index does.
  • Inflation at 4.1% in September sits above both two-year expectations the bank cites, 3.0% among its surveyed economists and 3.2% among financial traders.

What to watch

  • The minutes are printed for 08:30 on Wednesday, 4 November 2026, and the next monetary policy meeting for Tuesday, 15 December 2026.
  • The statement names rising long-term nominal rates, a falling local equity index and a weaker peso together, and quantifies none of the three.
  • Mining drives the headline activity gap: total Imacec at -1.0% against non-mining at +1.4% over the year to August.

Sources: Banco Central de Chile https://www.bcentral.cl/en/areas/monetary-politics/monetary-policy-meeting-rpm/documentation-rpm

Market data: Chile · Santiago de Chile