Dubai real estate market — prices, rental yield and trend
- Average price: $5,680 / m²
- Gross rental yield: 6.04%
- 12-month price change (USD): 0.1%
- Net rental yield: 6.04%
- Transaction cost: 6.5%
- Bubble-risk band: high
- Price basis: local-market average
Residential property in Dubai averages $5,680 per square metre. In dollar terms the market has barely moved over the last twelve months (+0.1%). That makes it the 12th most expensive of the 83 markets in the set.
What a buyer pays in Dubai
The $5,680 figure is a local-market average across all residential property types: a flat in a prime district sits well above it, an older unit on the edge of the market well below. Buying costs — transfer tax or stamp duty, notary, registration and agency — come to about 6.5% of the price here. On a 100 m² apartment at the average price that is roughly $36,920 on top of the $568,000 purchase price. That is below the 10.2% median across the set, which shortens the time it takes for a purchase to break even. Against the United Arab Emirates national average of $4,669, Dubai carries a 21.7% premium — the gap between this market and the country as a whole. Among the other United Arab Emirates markets we track, Abu Dhabi at $6,345 is 10.5% dearer, and Ras Al Khaimah at $6,527 is 13% dearer.
What it earns
A square metre lets for about $28.6 a month. Against a purchase price of $5,680 per square metre that is 6% gross, before tax. Both figures come from the same source and the same period, so you can check the arithmetic yourself. It ranks 39th of 88 markets by gross yield. Rental income is not taxed, so the net yield is the same 6% — a rarity in this set, and a large part of why the market draws foreign money.
How the tax works. 0%: the UAE has no personal income tax, and under Cabinet Decision 49/2023 an individual's real-estate investment, including long-term letting, sits outside corporate tax as long as it needs no licence — a standard 12-month Ejari-registered lease needs none. Dubai's 5% municipal housing fee is paid by the tenant through the DEWA bill, not by the landlord. Short-term or holiday-home letting requires a licence and falls outside this exemption. Source: tax.gov.ae.
Where the price sits against its own history
Prices are +94.2% over five years and +62.9% over ten in local terms. Today’s level sits 41.4% above the city’s own long-run trend. A gap that size does not have to close, but it is the number to watch. Glopra’s bubble-risk score for Dubai is 81 out of 100 — high risk. Of the 58 markets scored, 3 read higher. It combines the deviation from trend, price-to-income and the pace of recent growth — a warning light, not a forecast.
Dubai house price index, 2016–2026 (2016 = 100)
| Year | Index |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 100 |
| 2017 | 96.2 |
| 2018 | 87.9 |
| 2019 | 82.6 |
| 2020 | 76.8 |
| 2021 | 83.9 |
| 2022 | 91.9 |
| 2023 | 110.4 |
| 2024 | 130.3 |
| 2025 | 147 |
| 2026 | 162.9 |
Rebased to 100 in 2016, the index stands at 162.9 in 2026.
Who can buy in Dubai
Freehold in designated zones only; usufruct elsewhere. That is the rule a foreign buyer meets first, not legal advice — check the current position locally before you commit.
How this figure is built
The price figure for Dubai is built from asking prices from listings. It was last refreshed on 2026-09-13. We rate our confidence in this market’s data high: the underlying series is official and current. We recompute every market the same way, which is what lets Dubai be compared with a country average or another city.
Sources: REIDIN via Dubai Chronicle · dubaichronicle.com · globalpropertyguide.com · numbeo.com. Snapshot: 2026-09-13.
Latest Dubai market analysis
- Dubai Metro Is Set to Reach 162 km by 2032, and the RTA Expects Land Values to Follow — 2026-09-16
- Dubai Home Prices Slipped Below Last Year's Level in August, a First Since 2021 — 2026-09-08
- Dubai Added 5,184 Branded Residence Units in Six Months While Sales Value Halved — 2026-09-08
- Business Bay Overtook Palm Jumeirah in Dubai Prime Deals as August Sales Fell 37% — 2026-09-07
- Abu Dhabi Property Transactions Reached AED 155bn in Eight Months, Past All of 2025 — 2026-09-05
- Ras Al Khaimah Rents Rose Up to 8% in the First Half of 2026 Before Stalling in Q2 — 2026-09-05
- Abu Dhabi Completes Its First Off-Plan Mortgage Registration Under Adrec's New Framework — 2026-09-05
- Dubai Logged 148,564 Property Deals Worth AED 523.44 Billion in Eight Months — 2026-09-04
- Dubai Mortgage Rates Stop Following the Fed as UAE Banks Absorb the Moves — 2026-09-02
- Dubai and Abu Dhabi Apartment Prices Both Fell 3% in the Second Quarter — 2026-08-31
- Dubai Faces 55,600 Home Completions in 2026, the Most Since 2008, While New Launches Collapse — 2026-08-22
- Al Hudayriyat Island Took 27% of Abu Dhabi's Home Sales in the First Half of 2026 — 2026-08-22
Related markets: Abu Dhabi · Ras Al Khaimah · United Arab Emirates